Saturday, February 26, 2011

...HEAVY RAINFALL EXPECTED SUNDAY NIGHT...

A STRONG STORM SYSTEM TAPPING INTO ABUNDANT GULF MOISTURE WILL
OVERSPREAD THE FORECAST AREA SUNDAY EVENING BRINGING HEAVY RAINFALL
AND THUNDERSTORMS. MINIMAL SPREAD AMONGST FORECAST SOLUTIONS
INDICATES A HIGHER CONFIDENCE THAT WIDESPREAD PRECIPITATION TOTALS
BETWEEN 0.75 AND 1.00 INCHES IS LIKELY...ESPECIALLY AREAS ALONG AND
SOUTH OF INTERSTATE 80. THUNDERSTORMS WILL LIKELY LEAD TO LOCALIZED
AREAS IN EXCESS OF 1.5 INCHES OF PRECIPITATION.

PRECIPITATION FOR THE MONTH IS WELL ABOVE NORMAL AND STORAGE
CAPACITY FOR AREA STREAMS AND RIVERS HAS DIMINISHED DUE TO RECENT
SNOWMELT AND RAINFALL. WITH SOILS AT OR NEAR SATURATION ANY
ADDITIONAL PRECIPITATION WILL LIKELY BE CONVERTED TO RUNOFF.

SHOULD PRECIPITATION AMOUNTS OCCUR AS FORECAST...AREA RIVERS MAY
APPROACH OR EXCEED BANKFULL CONDITIONS MONDAY INTO TUESDAY...WITH
AN EARLIER RESPONSE IN SMALLER STREAMS. AREAS SOUTH OF INTERSTATE
88 ARE MOST AT RISK TO SEE RIVERS AND STREAMS APPROACH
BANKFULL...WITH SOME RISING TO MINOR FLOODING STAGES.

PERSONS IN FLOOD PRONE AREAS AND WITH INTERESTS NEAR RIVERS AND
STREAMS SHOULD MONITOR LATER FORECASTS.

No comments:

Post a Comment