Thursday, April 7, 2011

Hands still on deck for an unseasonably warm weekend. Low to mid 80s still possible for Sunday, however at a cost of a potential massive spring storm. Stay Tuned. See link for outlook.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT.

WEATHER HAZARDS EXPECTED:

CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS...THE STRONGEST MAY PRODUCE:
LOCALLY HEAVY RAINFALL.
CLOUD TO GROUND LIGHTNING.
AND PEA SIZE HAIL.

AREAS AFFECTED AND TIMING:

THUNDERSTORMS ARE POSSIBLE TONIGHT...ESPECIALLY AFTER MIDNIGHT.

DISCUSSION:

AN UPPER LEVEL DISTURBANCE COMBINED WITH A STRONG LOW LEVEL JET
STREAM WILL LIKELY RESULT IN WIDESPREAD SHOWERS WITH SOME
EMBEDDED THUNDERSTORMS TONIGHT. THE POTENTIAL EXISTS FOR SOME
LOCALLY HEAVY RAINFALL TOTALS...THOUGH THE THREAT OF FLOODING
AND SEVERE WEATHER BOTH APPEAR TO BE LOW TONIGHT.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...FRIDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY.

THERE IS A SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS FRIDAY NIGHT THROUGH
SATURDAY NIGHT AS A WARM FRONT SLOWLY LIFTS NORTH ACROSS THE
REGION. IF THUNDERSTORMS DO INDEED FORM...THEN IT IS POSSIBLE
THAT THE MOST INTENSE STORMS COULD PRODUCE LARGE HAIL AND
LOCALLY HEAVY RAIN...THOUGH THE POTENTIAL LOOKS LOW THROUGH THE
FIRST HALF OF THE DAY SUNDAY.

THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED BY LATE SUNDAY AFTERNOON OR MORE
LIKELY SUNDAY NIGHT AS AN INTENSE SPRING STORM SYSTEM MOVES INTO
THE REGION. IT IS TOO EARLY TO PIN POINT THE EXTENT AND
MAGNITUDE OF THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT LOCALLY.
HOWEVER...CONCERN IS GROWING THAT A WIDESPREAD AND POTENTIALLY
SIGNIFICANT SEVERE WEATHER OUTBREAK...INCLUDING THE POTENTIAL
FOR TORNADOES...IS POSSIBLE SOMEWHERE IN THE MIDWEST OR GREAT
LAKES REGION SUNDAY AFTERNOON AND EVENING.

MANY INGREDIENTS NEED TO FALL INTO PLACE JUST RIGHT FOR A
SIGNIFICANT SEVERE WEATHER OUTBREAK...AND IF EVEN ONE FAILS TO
MATERIALIZE THE THREAT WILL DECREASE SIGNIFICANTLY. LATER
FORECASTS REGARDING THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT SHOULD BE CLOSELY
MONITORED.

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